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The Expert Take: Margins in Focus as Welsh Rugby Hits Rock Bottom

by SuperSportBet


20 Feb 2025

While Ireland remains on track for a Six Nations Grand Slam and Wales looks destined for another wooden spoon, smart bettors should pay close attention to margin bets rather than outright results in the remaining rounds.

Before the tournament, Ireland was tipped over France to complete a Grand Slam, while Wales was expected to finish last. As predicted, Ireland sits at the top of the table with 10 points after dominant bonus-point wins over England and Scotland. France, currently second with four points, must secure a big win against Ireland in Round 4 to keep their title hopes alive.

Can Wales Keep It Competitive Against Ireland?

Wales has suffered two heavy defeats, including a 43-0 thrashing by France and a 22-15 loss to Italy. These results led to Warren Gatland stepping down, with Cardiff boss Matt Sherratt stepping in for the remainder of the tournament. While some fresh faces—Gareth Anscombe, Max Llewellyn, and Jarrod Evans—have been recalled, Wales still faces an uphill battle.

Ireland, despite missing captain Caelan Doris and lock Iain Henderson, goes into the Round 3 clash as clear favourites. The handicap line is set at +24 for Wales, reflecting expectations of another one-sided encounter.

Betting Focus: Handicap and Margin Plays

  • Ireland has scored the second-most points and tries in the tournament, just behind France.
  • Wales has conceded the most points and struggled to pose an attacking threat.
  • A ruthless Ireland side could cover the handicap, potentially winning by 30+ points if Wales fails to fire.

Optimists may back Wales to keep the game close, especially at home. However, if their struggles persist, this could be another heavy defeat.

Wales’ Final Fixtures: More Pain Ahead?

  • Round 4 vs. Scotland (Away): Scotland’s attacking prowess and potential desperation after facing England could make this another tough outing for Wales.
  • Round 5 vs. England (Home): If England builds momentum from their win over France, they could hand Wales a 17th consecutive defeat, potentially by 20+ points.

While debates will rage over the title-deciding Ireland vs. France clash, the real question surrounding Wales isn’t whether they’ll lose but by how much.

Bet on the Six Nations with SuperSport Bets!

Get the best odds on every match, including handicap and margin bets, only at SuperSport Bets. Will Wales keep it competitive or suffer another crushing defeat? Bet: 

www.supersportbet.com/sportsbook/rugby-union/six-nations-2827

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